Global semiconductor industry revenue will increase by 4.6% in 2012

In spite of the global macroeconomic uncertainties including the Eurozone crisis, slow global GDP growth, and the slowdown in the economic growth of the BRICS countries, semiconductor materials are used in applications such as smart phones, media tablet devices, and automotive electronics devices. Demand remains strong. In addition, for the Microsoft Windows 8 operating system and the next generation of smart phones launched later this year, the public generally hold high expectations, which will also accelerate the growth rate of semiconductor industry revenue in 2013 and in the future.

Mali Venkatesan, IDC Semiconductor Market Research Manager, said: “As we predicted earlier this year, the cyclical decline in the semiconductor industry that began in the middle of last year has already bottomed out in the second quarter of 2012. With the continuous improvement of processing line capacity, The supply shortage of semiconductor products such as the most advanced processing technology-based smart phone application processors and PC-independent graphics processors has eased, and the flood in Thailand has delayed the supply of hard disks and PCs. The industry has already recovered from it. Intel’s cutting-edge 22nm technology is rapidly growing, and foundry and memory vendors are already ready to move to 22nm technology.” Although these will lead to strong growth in the semiconductor industry, Venkatesan also pointed out that due to macro With the weak economy, the short-term growth of the semiconductor industry will be slower than its previous growth cycle.

From a regional market perspective, Europe remains the weakest region in the world. The demand for semiconductors in the consumer and automotive markets in the US is booming. Despite the decline in GDP growth in China, India, and Brazil, the demand for smartphones, tablet devices, and laptops in these markets remains strong.

IDC expects that the semiconductor market will resume growth in the fourth quarter of 2012 and will continue into the first quarter of 2013. The next wave of demand for semiconductor products will come with the introduction of the Windows 8 operating system for tablet devices, the increase in corporate IT spending, the launch of next-generation smartphones, tablet devices and gaming platforms, and the expectation of a global macroeconomic environment improvement. And it appears. The market recovery process will accelerate in the second half of 2013 and in the near future.

Other important findings from IDC's Semiconductor Applications Forecast include:

In 2012, semiconductor revenue from the computer industry will achieve an annual growth rate of 1.5%, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period 2011-2016 will reach 3.7%. The semiconductor revenue from mobile PCs will reach an annual growth rate of 5.9%, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period 2011-2016 will reach 9.6%.

In 2012, semiconductor revenue from the communications industry will achieve an annual growth rate of 7.2%, and the 5-year compound annual growth rate will reach 4.7%. Among them, the annual growth rate of semiconductor revenue from 4G mobile phones will reach 59% in 2012, and the compound annual growth rate will reach 97% during 2011-2016.

Media tablet devices, e-readers, high-definition receivers, LED/LCD TVs will continue to grow at above-average levels as in 2011. The market for traditional devices such as DVD players, DVD camcorders, portable multimedia players, and game consoles will continue to shrink. Overall, the annual growth rate of semiconductor revenue from the consumer market in 2012 will reach 4.4%, while the compound annual growth rate during 2011-2016 will reach 5%.

Driven by strong global demand for automobiles, due to the increasing number of automotive semiconductor/electronic products (such as in-vehicle infotainment systems, on-board electronic equipment, driving safety systems, etc.), it is expected that the annual growth rate of semiconductor revenue from the automotive industry in 2012 will reach At 9.7%, the compound annual growth rate for the next five years will reach 7.2%.

In semiconductor devices, the revenue growth of microprocessors, application-specific standard integrated circuits (ASSPs), and microcontrollers will be higher than the overall growth of the semiconductor industry, although the memory industry is plunging from DRAM (dynamic random access memory) last year. In the gradual recovery, memory, especially DRAM will continue to show negative growth.

From a regional perspective, the Asia-Pacific region’s share of the semiconductor industry’s overall revenue will continue to increase. The annual growth rate in 2012 will reach 7%, and the compound annual growth rate in the next five years will reach 6.4%.

The IDC Global Semiconductor Applications Forecast database is the basis for IDC's report on all semiconductor suppliers, including market forecasting and consulting projects. The database includes revenue data for the top 100 semiconductor companies in the world for 2006-2011, as well as market historical data and forecasts for 2006-2016. The database also includes revenue data for more than 12 semiconductor device fields, four geographic regions, six industries, and more than 80 end-equipment applications.

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